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2017 Welsh Open

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  • JimMalone
    replied
    Originally Posted by shmeeko69 View Post
    I've always treated betting like a business and I only place a few strategic bets per year and that's probably why I'm one of the very few who can show a long-term profit.

    If you get emotional when you bet or "sweaty palm syndrome" then, you shouldn't do it!
    I don't place more than two or three bets a year. And I always bet against my favorites.

    I absolutely don't care if I lose the money. Money doesn't make me emotional. The only emotional binding is to my favorite athletes.

    Leave a comment:


  • shmeeko69
    replied
    Originally Posted by gavpowell View Post
    I used to know a guy who made his living gambling - he'd decided he hated working for a living and would rather do that instead. He used to drop 10,000 euros on games of tennis, be slightly irritated and then the same afternoon make 25,000 profit on another bet.

    The most I ever lost was £150 on Lewis vs Tyson, and that remains by far the largest bet I will ever make in my life!
    I think most people go in with the wrong mindset. If you're just doing it for fun (small amounts)) or the short term then, you don't have to pay much attention
    to trends and/or stats. If you want to do it for the longer term then, you have to look at all the available information and look for any value bets.

    It's fine in itself in winning a bet, but did you get real value? If you didn't then (net net) you'll lose in the longer run. Betting on something that's already in good form or
    on a winning streak is a wast of time. The trick is to spot something that the bookie's odds compilers didn't and place the selection. Even if it doesn't win. at least you
    know you got value and that will serve you well for the longer term.

    Without financial discipline and the above is meaningless!

    Leave a comment:


  • shmeeko69
    replied
    Originally Posted by Ramon View Post
    some of snooker players are also very good gamblers.

    Matthew Stevens won 250.000 in a poker tournament few years ago.

    I'm never go that far neither that lucky though.

    I did bet 30 euros and puted it on JT with this match.
    I lost it.
    I never though Matthew had the face for poker? Mind you, he always looks stressed!

    Leave a comment:


  • DeanH
    replied
    Originally Posted by OmaMiesta View Post
    He means theyre not good enough to win tournaments which is true, Anyone can beat anyone in a best of 7 format single match... but when was the last time you saw anyone under 30 win a ranking event? Its the 40 + year olds that are dominating the game with all their experience.
    If you mean ROS's comments; from the interview I saw on TV he did mean and say that some of the low rank players "cant play" and "should not be on the tour in the first place", he did not mention tournaments.

    Leave a comment:


  • OmaMiesta
    replied
    He means theyre not good enough to win tournaments which is true, Anyone can beat anyone in a best of 7 format single match... but when was the last time you saw anyone under 30 win a ranking event? Its the 40 + year olds that are dominating the game with all their experience.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ramon
    replied
    Originally Posted by gavpowell View Post
    I used to know a guy who made his living gambling - he'd decided he hated working for a living and would rather do that instead. He used to drop 10,000 euros on games of tennis, be slightly irritated and then the same afternoon make 25,000 profit on another bet.

    The most I ever lost was £150 on Lewis vs Tyson, and that remains by far the largest bet I will ever make in my life!
    some of snooker players are also very good gamblers.

    Matthew Stevens won 250.000 in a poker tournament few years ago.

    I'm never go that far neither that lucky though.

    I did bet 30 euros and puted it on JT with this match.
    I lost it.

    Leave a comment:


  • gavpowell
    replied
    Originally Posted by shmeeko69 View Post
    I've always treated betting like a business and I only place a few strategic bets per year and that's probably why I'm one of the very few who can show a long-term profit.

    If you get emotional when you bet or "sweaty palm syndrome" then, you shouldn't do it!
    I used to know a guy who made his living gambling - he'd decided he hated working for a living and would rather do that instead. He used to drop 10,000 euros on games of tennis, be slightly irritated and then the same afternoon make 25,000 profit on another bet.

    The most I ever lost was £150 on Lewis vs Tyson, and that remains by far the largest bet I will ever make in my life!

    Leave a comment:


  • JimMalone
    replied
    Originally Posted by Erwan_BZH View Post
    Not sure it's really about scoring to be honest. I would blame hazardous shot selection more.
    This exactly.

    Leave a comment:


  • shmeeko69
    replied
    Originally Posted by JimMalone View Post
    I like Federer. I would have been happy if it was any other player. But Nadal is one of my two favorite athletes ever. And I so badly wanted him to win.

    Well I think it has something to do with an optimistic worldview for them. They are so convinced it will happen and so euphoric about it, they bet on what they want to happen.
    I've always treated betting like a business and I only place a few strategic bets per year and that's probably why I'm one of the very few who can show a long-term profit.

    If you get emotional when you bet or "sweaty palm syndrome" then, you shouldn't do it!

    Leave a comment:


  • Erwan_BZH
    replied
    Not sure it's really about scoring to be honest. I would blame hazardous shot selection more. He seems to be too eager for the quick kill and not patient enough (even though the tactical battle in the 16th frame was splendid).
    He seems to always be guilty of some brainfart at some point of an important game that costs him victory. A seasonned coach like the Griff would indeed be a welcome addition for him. He needs external advice to finally land some silver.

    Leave a comment:


  • cueman
    replied
    Originally Posted by Erwan_BZH View Post
    Must be a toughie to swallow for Judd...He was right back in it in the second session, took the bull by the horns, had a 8-7 lead only to succumb to a very determinded Bingham. Once again, another title is slipping off his hands...Tough because he played superbly all week and besides his 4-frames lapse at the beginning of the match, he was, to me, the better player of the two. No disrespect to Bingham here, he played fantastically well to level it all at 8 all and to clinch the title. Great bottle!!
    So for Trump, he must be started to think he's cursed of something like that...he's due to land a big one but for whatever reason, seems he can't cross the finishing line, always falling short. Worrysome?
    I don't think Judd played that well this week to be honest. In patches he was good, maybe the table wasn't the best for his type of game, but the amount of times he broke down on 40 or 50 is a concern.

    His lack of titles is clearly becoming a problem now. The more you fail to get over the line in these types of matches, the harder it is to deal with the pressure each time it happens in the future. His cue action went in the decider, he wasn't able to get into the pack and the red he missed into the right corner he missed by a long way. When Bingham had his chance he looked far more composed and look like a champion.

    I think Judd is going to really struggle to get over this now. He keeps talking up that he is working hard and he's going to try and win the Masters and lost first round, he had a poor UK tournament as well, it seems the longer matches he can't sustain his form and the pressure gets to him. His best form has all come in the short format events in best of 7's.
    If ever a player needs to get a coach in his corner now its Trump, I think he needs Griffiths or someone to mentally toughen him up. You've seen what he's done for Fu and Hawkins and the level they played at to win tournaments this season, Trump needs to work on his scoring if he's to win the big titles.

    Leave a comment:


  • Odrl
    replied
    Originally Posted by crocodile View Post
    And on the subject of advertising - I also noticed at one point during the WGP (I think it was) that Shaun Murphy couldn't get started on one particular frame because they had to wait for some ITV advertising to finish first. Makes you wonder.
    Yes, I think this happens in every tournament where ITV or Eurosport are the host broadcasters. I don't think it happens in the BBC or the Chinese events. That said, the BBC does of course have the massive delay at the start of the match, when we all have to wait for their studio stuff to finish.

    It's pathetic really, the event should be played according to its own schedule and TV should be there to cover it. Can you imagine something like that happening in football? Players just standing around before the kick-off, waiting for TV to give the referee permission to start the match? Laughable, isn't it? And yet it's common practice in snooker. :wink:

    Leave a comment:


  • crocodile
    replied
    Originally Posted by Odrl View Post
    An interesting night of snooker. :smile:

    The Welsh Open has provided some excellent finals down the years... The first one I ever watched in full was the terrific battle between Hendry and O'Sullivan in 2005, then there was the unforgettable final between Robertson and Andrew Higginson in 2007, Selby's comeback from 8-5 down against O'Sullivan in 2008, the Maguire-Bingham thriller in 2013... Well, tonight was another one of those classic midnight finishes that only snooker can provide. It was perhaps not as high quality as the ones I mentioned, especially the evening session which had very little fluency, but it's always exciting when so many frames go down to the colours. :smile:

    Nice to see Bingham finally getting some reward for his very consistent performances this season. I think he will definitely be a big danger at the Crucible. Trump as well, only one notable title this season, but lots of near misses and impressive performances in single matches. He just needs to string a few good performances together and it could be his year. :smile:

    I won't say anything about the tournament as a whole, I'm sure everyone knows my feelings about this particular format by now. I will however mention the usual lack of class from Eurosport, literally ending their broadcast on the continent in the middle of David Hendon's sentence, without a word of goodbye. Not that I am particularly interested in the customary platitudes that follow the victory ceremony, but this recent trend of completely ignoring the viewers on the continent is a little unprofessional.
    Well, perhaps they don't want to lose a minute of valuable advertising time ....

    Not that these award ceremonies particularly interest me either, but I've noticed that whenever they do reruns of the finals the broadcast always comes to an abrupt end a few seconds after the last ball's been potted and the winner's started celebrating (at least it's the case here in Germany - probably it's the same in other Continental countries too).

    And on the subject of advertising - I also noticed at one point during the WGP (I think it was) that Shaun Murphy couldn't get started on one particular frame because they had to wait for some ITV advertising to finish first. Makes you wonder.
    Last edited by crocodile; 20 February 2017, 11:04 AM.

    Leave a comment:


  • JimMalone
    replied
    Originally Posted by shmeeko69 View Post
    I would have been the opposite to that Jim, as I'm a Federer fan and was delighted when he beat Nadal, so
    I would have lost the bet, but my player won and reached 18 GS's

    I can't understand for the life of me why folk bet on their favourite player or team in a sporting event. It's blo*dy crazy!
    I like Federer. I would have been happy if it was any other player. But Nadal is one of my two favorite athletes ever. And I so badly wanted him to win.

    Well I think it has something to do with an optimistic worldview for them. They are so convinced it will happen and so euphoric about it, they bet on what they want to happen.

    Leave a comment:


  • shmeeko69
    replied
    I would have been the opposite to that Jim, as I'm a Federer fan and was delighted when he beat Nadal, so
    I would have lost the bet, but my player won and reached 18 GS's

    I can't understand for the life of me why folk bet on their favourite player or team in a sporting event. It's blo*dy crazy!

    Leave a comment:

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